Election Update: Netanyahu, Gantz Deadlocked: No Coalition In Sight

“A wise man’s mind tends toward the right hand, a fool’s toward the left.” Ecclesiastes 10:2 (The Israel Bible™)

The official Israeli government election site posted the following data on Wednesday morning with about 91% of the ballots counted:

Israelis with the right to vote:  6,394,030

Israelis who voted: 4,034,847 (63.10%)

Valid ballots cast: 4,011,372

Invalid ballots: 23,475

 

Editor’s Note: The number of votes and the percentages are from the official government site but the number of seats is an estimate based on these figures. 

 

Likud (headed by Benjamin Netanyahu): 1,004,004 (25.03%)……………………………. 32 seats

Blue and White (headed by Benny Gantz): 1,029,333 (25.66%)…………………………… 31 seats

The Joint Arab List: 429,485 (10.71%)………………………………………………………………. 10 seats

Shas (Religious Sephardi): 303,367 (7.56%)………………………………………………………… 9 seats

United Torah Judaism (Religious): 250,571 (6.25%)…………………………………………….. 8 seats

Yisraeli Beiteinu (Jewish Home headed by Avigdor Liberman): 285,311 (7.11%)……… 9 seats

Yamina (headed by Ayelet Shaked): 229,840 (5.73%)…………………………………………… 7 seats

Labor and Gesher: 193,074 (4.81%)……………………………………………………………………. 6 seats

Democratic Union (Meretz): 172,545 (4.30%)……………………………………………………… 5 seats

Parties that do not receive a minimum of 3.25% of the vote do not receive any seats in the Knesset

Otzma Yehudit: 74,961 (1.87%)………………………………………………………………………….. 0 seats

Tzomet: 13,595 (0.34%)

The Israeli Knesset is composed of 120 seats which are allotted based on the percentage of votes received in the general election. Within the next few days, the president of Israel, Reuven Rivlin, will task one of the heads of the parties with forming a coalition.  Usually (though not always) this is assigned to the head of the party that received the most votes. The decision is based on the president’s assessment of which party has the best possibility of forming a majority coalition representing 61 seats. The leader of the party then has 28 days to negotiate a coalition and present it to the president. If he/she is unable to do so, it is possible to ask for a two-week extension. The head of the party that succeeds in forming a coalition is appointed prime minister.

According to these results, it is conjectured that for the purposes of forming a coalition, the Center-Left bloc could potentially form a coalition of 55 seats and the Center-Right bloc could form a coalition of 56 seats. If this proves accurate, neither Likud nor Bue and White would be able to form a coalition government.